The Everything Exchange: Coinbase Challenges Robinhood with Launch of Stock Trading and Prediction MarketsIn a transformative move that blurs the lines between decentralized finance and Wall Street, Coinbase Global, Inc. (
NASDAQ: COIN) has officially completed the rollout of its new "Everything Exchange" ecosystem. As of January 2026, the platform now offers commission-free U.S.-listed stock trading and fully integrated prediction markets to
The $100 Billion Horizon: Why Prediction Markets are the Decade’s Defining Asset ClassAs of January 22, 2026, the global financial landscape is undergoing a fundamental transformation. What was once a niche corner of the internet for political junkies and hobbyist forecasters has evolved into a powerhouse of the modern economy. Prediction markets—increasingly rebranded by Wall Street as "event trading"—are no longer just a curiosity; they are becoming [...]
The New Macro Insurance: How Traders are Using Kalshi to Hedge the ‘OBBBA’ EconomyAs the Federal Reserve prepares for its first policy meeting of 2026 on January 28, a quiet revolution is taking place on the trading floors of Manhattan and Chicago. While traditional bond traders scramble to interpret yield curve shifts, a growing cohort of institutional and retail investors is turning to Kalshi to buy direct protection [...]
Beyond the Ballot: The Rise of Niche Event ContractsIn the wake of the high-stakes 2024 election cycle, many analysts expected a "prediction market hangover"—a period of cooling interest and declining volumes as the political fever broke. Instead, as of January 22, 2026, the opposite has occurred. Prediction markets have evolved from election-centric novelties into high-velocity "truth engines" for every corner of culture and [...]
The Financialization of Truth: Why Prediction Markets Are the New Gold Standard for ForecastingAs we cross into 2026, the global information landscape has undergone a radical transformation. The era of relying solely on traditional polling—often criticized for its slow response times and methodological lag—is being eclipsed by the rise of prediction markets. Following their standout performance during the 2024 US Presidential Election, these platforms are no longer viewed [...]
The Gamification of Truth: Robinhood Hits 9 Billion Prediction Contracts as Event Trading Goes MainstreamThe retail trading landscape has been fundamentally reshaped. As of January 22, 2026, Robinhood Markets (
NASDAQ: HOOD) has officially transitioned from a stock-and-crypto powerhouse into the undisputed leader of the prediction market revolution. Following a record-breaking holiday season and a high-stakes NFL playoff run, the platform announced it has surpassed the staggering milestone of 11 [...]
The Homecoming: Polymarket’s U.S. Relaunch Signals a New Era for Prediction MarketsNEW YORK — Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction platform, has officially begun its long-awaited homecoming. After years of operating in a regulatory exile that forced it to block American IP addresses, the platform is now aggressively onboarding thousands of users from its domestic waitlist. This strategic pivot follows a landmark regulatory shift under the [...]
Schwab’s Post-Integration Renaissance: Record Q4 Earnings Signal a New Era for the Financial GiantOn January 21, 2026, Charles Schwab (
NYSE: SCHW) reported record-breaking financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a definitive conclusion to its multi-year integration of TD Ameritrade and signaling a shift toward aggressive innovation. The firm posted a GAAP net income of $2.5 billion, or $1.33
The Great Preemption Bet: ‘Shadow Market’ Traders Brace for Federal Sovereignty Over Prediction MarketsAs the legal landscape for prediction markets enters its most volatile phase yet, a "Shadow Market" on the forecasting platform Manifold Markets has become the ultimate barometer for the industry's survival. Traders are currently placing an overwhelming 81% probability on a scenario where federal preemption—the legal doctrine that federal law overrides state law—will shield prediction [...]
The Rise of Corporate Prediction Markets: Betting on Meta AI, Amazon Layoffs, and Starbucks StrategyAs of January 21, 2026, the financial landscape has undergone a seismic shift. While traditional equity analysts still pore over balance sheets, a new breed of institutional and retail traders is looking elsewhere for an informational edge: prediction markets. Once dismissed as a niche interest for political junkies, platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have evolved [...]
Prediction Powerhouse: Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation as Sports Surge Drives $1 Billion Weekly VolumeThe rapid evolution of prediction markets has reached a fever pitch as Kalshi, the first federally regulated exchange for event contracts, officially reached "decacorn" status this month. With a fresh $11 billion valuation and weekly trading volumes consistently surpassing the $1 billion mark, the platform has transformed from a niche economic forecasting tool into a [...]
The Empire State’s Existential Bet: Will New York Shutdown the Prediction Market Boom?As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, the future of the prediction market industry in the United States is being decided not in a courtroom or on a trading floor, but in the halls of the New York State Assembly. The Oversight and Regulation of Activity for Contracts Linked to Events (ORACLE) Act, [...]
Betting on the Law: Why the ‘Maduro Trade’ Has Prediction Markets Bracing for Federal OversightAs of January 21, 2026, the fast-evolving world of "Information Finance" is facing its most significant legislative reckoning to date. Congressman Ritchie Torres (D-NY) has officially introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 (H.R. 7004), a bill designed to bring the ethics of Wall Street to the burgeoning world of event [...]
Schwab’s Strategic Pivot: How the Brokerage Giant Conquered 'Cash Sorting' to Enter 2026 on the OffensiveAs The Charles Schwab Corporation (
NYSE: SCHW) prepares to release its final Q4 2025 earnings results tomorrow, January 21, 2026, the financial community is already celebrating what appears to be the most significant turnaround in the company’s recent history. After two years of navigating the treacherous "cash sorting" phenomenon
Why Robinhood (HOOD) Shares Are Trading Lower TodayShares of financial services company Robinhood (
NASDAQ:HOOD)
fell 1.6% in the afternoon session after the U.S. announced potential tariffs on several European countries.
The Rhetoric Jackpot: Inside the Multi-Billion Dollar Culture of Betting on the Trump DialectWASHINGTON, D.C. — January 20, 2026 — Exactly one year after Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States, a new kind of ticker tape is dominating the financial landscape. It isn't tracking the S&P 500 or the price of gold, but rather the specific syllables spoken by the Commander-in-Chief. [...]
The Odds of Governance: How Prediction Markets Redefined the NYC Mayoral RaceAs New York City enters the first weeks of the Zohran Mamdani administration, political analysts and financial traders alike are looking back at the 2025 mayoral race not just for its ideological shift, but as a watershed moment for the prediction market industry. For the first time in a major U.S. municipal election, real-time betting [...]
The New Tape: Why Wall Street Is Obsessed with Prediction Market AlphaAs of January 20, 2026, a fundamental shift has occurred in the plumbing of global finance. For decades, the "tape"—the real-time feed of stock and bond prices—was the undisputed source of truth for traders. Today, that tape has a rival. Professional desks at major banks and hedge funds are increasingly turning to prediction markets like [...]
The Maduro Trade Fallout: Markets Brace for Federal Crackdown on “Government Insiders”As of January 20, 2026, the prediction market world is grappling with a new reality: the prospect of a federal ban on government employees and politicians trading the very outcomes they influence. Prompted by a suspicious $400,000 windfall on the offshore platform Polymarket, Congressman Ritchie Torres (D-NY) has formally introduced the Public Integrity in Financial [...]
JD Vance Emerges as the 2028 Betting Favorite: Why Prediction Markets Are Frontrunning the ‘Heir Apparent’ NarrativeAs the second year of the second Trump administration begins on this January 20, 2026, the political world is already looking toward the horizon of 2028. While traditional pundits often wait for the midterm results to declare favorites, prediction market traders have already reached a consensus. Vice President JD Vance has solidified his position as [...]
The $112 Million Regulatory Heist: Polymarket’s QCX Acquisition and the Battle for America’s Prediction MarketIn a move that has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning "information economy," Polymarket has officially staged its return to the United States. Following a multi-year exile by federal regulators, the world’s largest prediction market platform successfully bypassed the typical years-long licensing process by executing a strategic $112 million acquisition of QCX, a Commodity Futures Trading [...]
Interactive Brokers Scales New Heights as Trading Frenzy Drives Record PerformanceAs of January 19, 2026, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (
NASDAQ: IBKR) has reached a historic milestone, with its stock price hitting an all-time high of $75.64. This surge reflects a broader market validation of the firm’s highly automated, low-cost brokerage model, which has successfully captured a massive influx
