Articles from Talk Markets

The small cap stocks have underperformed the large cap stocks.

The private equity industry is lobbying the incoming Trump administration to allow 401(k)s – and, presumably, IRAs and other tax-deferred accounts – to include private equity funds.

The US consumer price inflation report due Wednesday is not the type of report that the Fed thought they would see at end-2024. Squint your eyes and you see a 3% inflation rate for December.

One would think this morning’s ice-cold PPI numbers would send bonds rocketing higher. Nope, the five-year bear market in bonds continues apace, as vividly illustrated by the fund TMF​​​​​​​, which is the leveraged bullish fund.

Nvidia (NVDA) is highly popular with positive sentiment, but caution is advised due to potential rapid sell-offs by institutions using algorithms.

Over the last two days, the financial landscape has seen a momentary calm: bond markets have steadied, the dollar's meteoric ascent has paused, and global stocks have found some much-needed breathing room

On the weekly chart, NVO fell right down to the 200-week moving average. Clearly the leadership is showing a gross lack of leadership. 

There were early signs of recovery for some markets, but now all lead markets are showing net bearish technicals.

The USD/CAD pair remains on the defensive around 1.4350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday, pressured by the disappointing US December Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

Wall Street saw a modest uptick on Tuesday as investors turned their focus to upcoming US inflation data following a better-than-expected producer price index (PPI) report.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) rebounded from 0.6130, its lowest level since April 2020, to reach 0.6180 on Tuesday, buoyed by firm commodity prices and a slight improvement in market sentiment.

The rupee’s currency crisis is accelerating. The central bank is burning through reserves at an unsustainable pace.

With 2024 now behind us, the year ahead promises to be all the more dramatic.

Small business optimism has now surged 11.4 points since the October report, which is a record two-month increase in the history of the survey going back to 1986. 

The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by the yield curve.

Inflation expectations among consumers polled in December by the New York Fed unexpectedly jumped at the 3-Year horizon, rising from 2.6% to 3.0%, the highest since 2023.

Barclays is

There will be an option expiration on Friday.

Enterprises are yet to take full advantage of automation's cost-saving potential.

Today’s revised 2.4% nowcast marks a modestly higher estimate vs. last week’s update, which estimated Q4 growth a 2.1%.

Price discovery is crucial and will determine the narrative for the economy and the market.

Despite gold being down 1% in December, global gold ETFs saw a monthly net inflow of $778 million (4 tons), driven by strong Asian demand, which counterbalanced outflows in North America.

​​​​​​​2024 was a remarkable year for ETF launches with 750 new products introduced, far ahead the previous all-time annual record set in 2023.

As we move through 2025, the global economy and financial markets are facing a critical juncture.

Since 1955, every U.S. recession has been preceded by an inverted yield curve, followed by re-steepening before the recession fully materialized within 6 to 18 months.

The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today.

The S&P U.S. Style Indices underwent their annual rebalancing in December 2024, leading to significant changes in sector exposures.

In this short clip from Macro-To-Micro Options Power Hour, me and Hans Albrecht discuss how bullish option flows persist despite market uncertainties, including rising yields, a strong dollar, and high interest rates.

Stocks finished the day mixed, as investors focused on today's producer price index (PPI) data, which was more modest than anticipated.

AVGO and MRVL are expected to benefit from demand for custom AI chips.

Inflation is going to continue to prove problematic as the return of the

The markets have been dropping for the past couple of days.

As of Jan. 7, 2025, UnitedHealth Group is the country’s most valuable insurance company, with a market cap of $473 billion.

U.S. Treasury yields have increased notably since September, particularly at the long end of the curve, with the 10-year yield up over 100 basis points from its recent lows.

Silver tends to outperform the rest of the precious metals sector close to the end of a given rally. We’re not there yet.

Atomwise was founded in 2012 with the intention of finding cures for common and orphan diseases that are too expensive and time-intensive for pharma companies to find a cure for.

The upcoming UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is set to play a pivotal role in shaping market expectations around the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy trajectory.

Teladoc Health has partnered with Amazon to improve healthcare access through streamlined enrollment.

Using applied Fibonacci, we can see that the 30-year yield spent nearly two years testing the 23% Fibonacci level. This quarter yields are attempting to breakout above the 23% level.

A look at whether TSLA or NVDA is the better swing trade for traders, with the overall stock market in mind.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for services was unchanged in December but the price of goods jumped 0.6 percent. The bond market reaction is not encouraging.

Small business optimism index hit 105.1 in December, easily beating street expectations of 101.3.

Exxon Mobil may face more weakness down to 100$ from technical and Elliott Wave perspective, especially if crude oil pulls-back.

The FTSE 100 underperformed, slipping 0.2%, as disappointing earnings from certain companies added pressure.

After completing a 5-wave advance between May 2019 and June 2022 when the price improved from barely $790 to $1787, the commodity has been on the opposite side since then.

Discover the top stock picks for today's risk-on market, driven by light PPI data and anticipation of CPI. This article provides a macro review, detailed analyses of key trades, and swing trade opportunities, including KTOS, NBIS, ROOT, and more.

The technical analysis for this GBP/USD pair is obviously horrible, but I think you’ve got a situation where you have to look at this through the prism of whether or not we are oversold at the moment.

Let me start with the monthly change in raw commodity prices (gold, /2 for scale), final demand producer prices (blue), and consumer prices (red) for the past two years:

As President Trump seems committed to putting tariffs on our trade partners, could there be some tariff wiggle room? Stocks are higher and oil is lower as there may be some tariff relief on the horizons or at least a slower process of enforcement.

Continuing on Friday‘s weak close note, S&P 500 took a premarket dive, and then the table was set for a short squeeze to start, right as called (both moves).

Stocks opened lower on Monday, extending their short-term downtrend and reaching new local lows. However, the market rebounded, and the S&P 500 index managed to close 0.16% higher.

The wave counts have been adjusted as price action breaks through 5300 zone. The stock might be unfolding Minute Wave ((v)) of Minor Wave 5 within Intermediate Wave (5) Orange.

The EUR/USD managed to bounce back along with all risk assets after hitting a new multi-year low sub 1.02 handle on Monday.

The British pound has fallen pretty significantly across the board during the trading session on Monday. That includes the Australian dollar.

The US Dollar flat after sources disclosed the Trump administration is considering a gradual tariff implementation. Traders are on edge over possible comments from President-elect Donald Trump on the above headline.

WE are looking for a bottom in what appears to be a sideways wave 4 to then complete Intermediate wave (3) at above 100$.

My previous GBP/USD signal on 6th January was not triggered as there was no bearish price action when the two nearest resistance levels were first reached that day.

Despite the current slump, there are mounting signals that the tide may turn in 2025, when increased electric vehicle sales and production curtailments could help absorb some of the excess supply.

Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau says Canada will respond in kind to Trump’s tariffs.

The euro fell to USD 1.020, the lowest level since October 2022, as investors lowered expectations of a rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).

The BTC/USD pair dived and reached a low of 88,913 on Monday as most risky assets crashed amid the rising bond yields.

As one of the premier media companies, now appears to be an ideal time to invest in Fox’s presence as a news, sports, and entertainment content provider.

The NIKKEI 225 index is displaying a bullish trend, as revealed by Elliott Wave analysis on the daily chart.

USD/CHF recovers intraday losses as the outlook of the US Dollar remains firm. Investors await the US inflation data as it will influence the Fed’s interest rate outlook.

In a recent appearance on CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” Tom Lee, Fundstrat Capital CIO and head of research, suggested that Bitcoin may still have a ways to fall before posting a substantial recovery.

Gold price halts Monday’s decline and ties up again with gains on Tuesday. Sources in the Trump administration disclosed that a gradual tariff introduction is being considered to avoid an inflation shock.

The USD/JPY pair entered a consolidation phase on Tuesday, following modest growth during the earlier two trading sessions. Today, the pair’s movements are centred around the 157.50 mark.

Crypto displayed green on Tuesday as Bitcoin reclaimed $95K again. Dogecoin could gain 25% if bulls hold $0.30 support. XMR eyes robust recoveries after reclaiming a rising trendline support.

Wave 2-grey has completed a Double Zigzag at the 17.20 low and wave 3-grey is probably unfolding to push much higher. A push above 18.86 would be the first step to add weight to this bull market view.

What demographic group had the biggest gains in the U.S. job market during 2024?

USD/JPY gains to near 158.00 as the safe-haven demand of the Japanese Yen has eased. Investors await the US inflation data for fresh guidance on interest rates. Fed dovish bets have lately trimmed on upbeat US labor market data for December.

The NZDUSD currency pair is at the early stage of a bullish cycle, with navy blue wave one unfolding within gray wave one.